PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-Guapo--

0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10

Realised P&L
$-108.2k
Volume
$9.16M
Markets traded
12,180
Open portfolio
$44.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,180
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5670.440$8.4k$2.4k
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5900.958$5.5k+$2.1k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9550.963$4.2k+$32.73
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.8690.895$3.9k+$113.54
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No0.8000.744$3.0k$224.44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9600.962$2.7k+$4.47
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.9060.891$2.6k$44.76
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.7120.765$1.8k+$127.21
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.6680.515$1.7k$507.55
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6510.913$1.5k+$422.73
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner · Movistar KOI0.5390.785$1.3k+$396.90
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.6400.695$959.75+$75.65
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner · Natus Vincere0.3270.215$890.94$464.72
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Movistar KOI0.6100.735$767.62+$130.66
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9430.981$767.13+$29.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:50Kasımpaşa SK vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5BUY0.58$128.76
09-18 15:46Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.52$93.60
09-18 15:39Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)BUY0.42$13.86
09-18 15:38Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)BUY0.43$18.06
09-18 15:38Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.66$19.80
09-18 15:37Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.66$59.40
09-18 15:31LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.54$119.88
09-18 15:30LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.56$78.74
09-18 15:07Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.54$72.90
09-18 15:04Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.5$57.00
09-18 14:48Will FC Lahti win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.6$72.00
09-18 14:37Games Total: O/U 4.5BUY0.31$35.34
09-18 12:06LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.999$1.2k
09-18 12:00LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2509046973$118.37
09-18 11:48LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.4$220.80