PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

-Guapo--

0x87256d0406f876184a66cc158415903bb242eb10

Realised P&L
$-143.2k
Volume
$7.72M
Markets traded
10,975
Open portfolio
$26.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,975
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6010.484$7.6k$1.8k
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5900.967$5.6k+$2.2k
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.9110.912$2.1k+$2.33
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.6720.550$1.8k$392.68
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.8820.895$1.7k+$23.83
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.7120.715$1.7k+$8.11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6510.909$1.5k+$416.27
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.6400.655$1.4k+$32.48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9450.956$1.1k+$11.64
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? · No0.5240.625$423.40+$68.44
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1530.135$418.77$57.31
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8370.989$409.23+$62.68
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No0.8530.895$286.35+$13.35
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No0.8000.905$203.63+$23.63
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.8810.911$133.79+$4.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 21:41CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5BUY0.61$181.17
08-03 21:39CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5BUY0.7$77.00
08-03 18:26CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 1.5BUY0.49$102.90
08-03 18:15FK Spartak 1918 Varna vs. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: O/U 2.5BUY0.56$2.80
08-03 18:15FK Spartak 1918 Varna vs. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: O/U 2.5BUY0.56$117.60
08-03 18:14FK Spartak 1918 Varna vs. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: O/U 2.5BUY0.55$2.75
08-03 17:08Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.3$132.30
08-03 17:04Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)BUY0.29$160.08
08-03 16:54Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 2.5BUY0.42$37.80
08-03 16:53Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5BUY0.7$176.39
08-03 16:37Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.5993636364$65.93
08-03 16:35Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsBUY0.34$3.46
08-03 16:22Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.57$30.78
08-03 16:18Ranheim vs. FK Haugesund: FK Haugesund O/U 1.5BUY0.75$67.50
08-03 16:18Ranheim vs. FK Haugesund: FK Haugesund O/U 2.5BUY0.49$150.92
Trader -Guapo-- · PolyBot