PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

FIFA26

0x86f39cb43e8a56bf5d7bad897bb9112de19e2cf1

Realised P&L
$-719.34
Volume
$26.2k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$28.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6310.735$17.47+$2.47
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1700.120$7.06$2.94
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2500.140$2.80$2.20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2300.034$1.48$8.52
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 22:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSELL0.5364170507$55.87
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.6899999968$50.00
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.72626843$50.00
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.4799999981$50.00
07-09 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.0244792049$10.00
07-09 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.179999987$10.00
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.5$56.81
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4399999975$50.00
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5499999956$50.00
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.2749389346$57.86
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.73$7.61
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.2376107936$50.00
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.69$62.72
07-09 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.5499999956$50.00
07-09 22:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.67$54.92