PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FIFA26

0x86f39cb43e8a56bf5d7bad897bb9112de19e2cf1

Realised P&L
$-622.92
Volume
$26.6k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$47.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6310.675$16.04+$1.04
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? · No0.1100.117$15.90+$0.90
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2500.555$11.10+$6.10
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1700.070$4.12$5.88
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2300.005$0.24$9.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:46Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?BUY0.1098864502$15.00
09-17 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.5199999981$100.00
07-09 22:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSELL0.5364170507$55.87
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.6899999968$50.00
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.72626843$50.00
07-09 22:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.4799999981$50.00
07-09 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.0244792049$10.00
07-09 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.179999987$10.00
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL0.5$56.81
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.4399999975$50.00
07-09 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.5499999956$50.00
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.2749389346$57.86
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.73$7.61
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.2376107936$50.00
07-09 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.69$62.72