Plsz
0x86f25db50d9445d9b937859a2c77941003f88914
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $503.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.350 | $472.97 | −$27.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.022 | $28.13 | −$71.88 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.026 | $2.21 | −$7.79 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No | 0.651 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.81at 0.138Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$291.29at 0.053Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$274.19at 0.364Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?
- +$230.40at 0.710US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$53.33at 0.300US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 00:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-25 21:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.0804294073 | $124.82 |
| 09-21 10:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.3233503783 | $743.71 |
| 09-18 19:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.129805012 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.44 |
| 08-23 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9099998835 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 17:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | SELL | 0.558 | $328.23 |
| 08-19 21:39 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? | BUY | 0.3479999991 | $150.00 |
| 08-07 15:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | SELL | 0.6111760187 | $222.74 |
| 08-07 15:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | SELL | 0.8172867962 | $297.85 |
| 08-05 23:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.0510000001 | $30.00 |
| 08-05 23:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | BUY | 0.55 | $274.99 |
| 08-05 12:39 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | BUY | 0.35 | $18.16 |
| 07-01 00:15 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |