PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Plsz

0x86f25db50d9445d9b937859a2c77941003f88914

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$26.8k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$503.31

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.350$472.97−$27.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4? · Yes0.0800.022$28.13−$71.88
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.026$2.21−$7.79
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.6510.000$0.00−$10.00
Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00−$9.00
Will "Socialism" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain0.5400.000$0.00−$15.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$10.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde0.1000.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 00:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 4?BUY0.08$100.00
09-27 23:57Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999998$500.00
09-25 21:37Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.0804294073$124.82
09-21 10:32Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.3233503783$743.71
09-18 19:48Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.129805012$500.00
08-23 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL0.99$5.44
08-23 17:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.9099998835$5.00
08-23 17:36Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?SELL0.558$328.23
08-19 21:39Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?BUY0.3479999991$150.00
08-07 15:50Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?SELL0.6111760187$222.74
08-07 15:49Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?SELL0.8172867962$297.85
08-05 23:38Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?BUY0.0510000001$30.00
08-05 23:37Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?BUY0.55$274.99
08-05 12:39Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?BUY0.35$18.16
07-01 00:15Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1$30.00