GREYER
0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864
- Realised P&L
- $-180.52
- Volume
- $38.8k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.98at 0.430Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
- +$82.00at 0.590Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$68.00at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$66.80at 0.666Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.00at 0.400Canada recession before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 02:51 | Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-20 00:07 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 06-18 21:48 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $64.00 |
| 06-05 16:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.8103 | $162.06 |
| 06-05 16:07 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 06-04 18:09 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.94161 | $188.32 |
| 06-04 18:08 | GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $193.19 |
| 05-26 19:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | SELL | 0.971 | $48.55 |
| 05-26 19:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May? | SELL | 0.982 | $49.10 |
| 05-26 19:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | SELL | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 05-26 19:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | SELL | 0.942 | $188.40 |
| 05-25 07:21 | Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24) | SELL | 0.97590018 | $48.79 |
| 05-25 07:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 05-25 02:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | SELL | 0.981 | $196.19 |
| 05-20 06:27 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |