PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GREYER

0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864

Realised P&L
$-180.52
Volume
$38.8k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? · Yes0.8301.000$200.00+$34.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5201.000$200.00+$96.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · No0.8901.000$199.99+$22.00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.957$95.65+$50.65
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.935$93.50+$17.50
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · No0.6600.865$86.49+$20.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.4900.845$84.50+$35.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6820.840$83.95+$15.75
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.8300.585$50.31$21.07
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7940.496$49.65$29.75
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.950$47.50+$4.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.7500.935$46.75+$9.25
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.7600.893$44.67+$6.67
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2590.175$42.00$20.20
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9260.965$38.58+$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 02:51Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$99.90
06-20 00:07Ebola case in the US by June 30?SELL0.94$188.00
06-18 21:48Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.32$64.00
06-05 16:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.8103$162.06
06-05 16:07Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?SELL0.89$178.00
06-04 18:09Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?SELL0.94161$188.32
06-04 18:08GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?SELL0.966$193.19
05-26 19:20Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?SELL0.971$48.55
05-26 19:19Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?SELL0.982$49.10
05-26 19:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?SELL0.92$184.00
05-26 19:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?SELL0.942$188.40
05-25 07:21Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)SELL0.97590018$48.79
05-25 07:20MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.9$180.00
05-25 02:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?SELL0.981$196.19
05-20 06:27Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?BUY0.56$5.60