PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fs1014

0x86c7b1daa5c4853eff753c467bbe394d58fd8243

Realised P&L
$-167.96
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$37.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20? · Yes0.1930.250$7.08+$1.62
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6950.685$5.91$0.09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1460.125$5.12$0.88
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3710.325$3.50$0.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1960.165$3.47$0.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · Yes0.2580.285$3.31+$0.31
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.1300.125$1.92$0.08
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1680.145$1.73$0.27
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1730.051$1.54$3.74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · No0.0050.005$1.10+$0.10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6170.550$0.89$0.11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2730.222$0.81$0.19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2810.163$0.58$0.42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1400.065$0.46$0.54
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0600.019$0.32$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:57Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.7$1.00
09-16 03:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?BUY0.005$1.00
09-15 22:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-15 22:38Will Solana reach $110 September 14-20?SELL0.91$1.26
09-15 22:37Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-15 19:37Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?BUY0.2799999847$1.46
09-15 18:40Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.32$1.00
09-15 18:32Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.7$1.00
09-15 18:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-15 18:21Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-15 17:22Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-15 17:22Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.89$1.33
09-15 17:21Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-15 17:21Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-15 16:15Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?BUY0.1699999983$1.00