PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BlueFungus

0x86aaee1d4c7b9074889b745c082adcff8ec8a85b

Realised P&L
$-152.43
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$334.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4890.705$76.42+$23.42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.705$35.25+$2.25
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.745$26.23+$1.23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9080.980$21.57+$1.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.905$20.80+$0.80
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6900.825$17.93+$2.93
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.895$17.21+$7.21
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? · No0.5300.885$16.70+$6.70
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8800.700$15.91−$4.09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.6230.440$14.11−$5.89
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6800.735$10.81+$0.81
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9310.997$10.70+$0.70
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.260$10.61−$9.39
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.805$10.06+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.525$9.72−$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 02:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$20.00
10-31 02:02Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999918$20.00
10-31 02:01Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-30 21:42Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
10-30 21:41Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.539999986$10.00
10-29 01:09Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
10-29 01:08Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999946$10.00
10-27 16:47Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6229999948$20.00
10-27 16:45Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7299999807$20.00
10-25 20:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.347582187$5.00
10-23 21:12Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.66$33.00
10-21 19:002026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.65$13.00
10-20 21:242026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.64$20.00
09-26 00:28Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.8$5.00
09-23 00:28EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.339999985$5.00