BlueFungus
0x86aaee1d4c7b9074889b745c082adcff8ec8a85b
- Realised P&L
- $-152.43
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $334.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.03at 0.638Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
- +$33.97at 0.653Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$30.34at 0.622 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$30.18at 0.570Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$27.06at 0.830Nothing Ever Happens: November
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 02:02 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 02:01 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 21:42 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 21:41 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 01:09 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 01:08 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 16:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6229999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 16:45 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7299999807 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 20:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.347582187 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 21:12 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 10-21 19:00 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 10-20 21:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 00:28 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 00:28 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |