PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8683eEfA7771D2d86E155A3d8484cA0d57b9A547-1764505961280

0x8683eefa7771d2d86e155a3d8484ca0d57b9a547

Realised P&L
$-378.41
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$142.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 21:54Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.116$36.83
06-24 17:00Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.13$7.84
06-24 16:23Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.26$260.00
06-19 19:01Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?BUY0.036$15.59
06-17 13:04Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0246447453$7.64
06-17 01:09Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.62$6.20
06-01 23:01Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.046$132.91
05-23 22:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.197$20.68
05-23 21:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1904902065$20.00
05-23 21:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.206$97.58
05-23 20:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.1899999985$90.00
05-23 19:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.109$17.93
05-23 16:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.0911790849$15.00
05-23 16:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.9091373626$66.19
05-20 11:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.057$30.38