0x8683eEfA7771D2d86E155A3d8484cA0d57b9A547-1764505961280
0x8683eefa7771d2d86e155a3d8484ca0d57b9a547
- Realised P&L
- $-378.41
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $142.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.13at 0.012Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$61.18at 0.620Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$37.34at 0.831US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$27.24at 0.163Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
- +$27.20at 0.087Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:54 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.116 | $36.83 |
| 06-24 17:00 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.84 |
| 06-24 16:23 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |
| 06-19 19:01 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $15.59 |
| 06-17 13:04 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0246447453 | $7.64 |
| 06-17 01:09 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 06-01 23:01 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.046 | $132.91 |
| 05-23 22:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.197 | $20.68 |
| 05-23 21:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.1904902065 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 21:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.206 | $97.58 |
| 05-23 20:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.1899999985 | $90.00 |
| 05-23 19:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.109 | $17.93 |
| 05-23 16:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.0911790849 | $15.00 |
| 05-23 16:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.9091373626 | $66.19 |
| 05-20 11:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $30.38 |