0x8683eEfA7771D2d86E155A3d8484cA0d57b9A547-1764505961280
0x8683eefa7771d2d86e155a3d8484ca0d57b9a547
- Realised P&L
- $-531.89
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $94.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.13at 0.012Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$69.64at 0.319Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$61.09at 0.621Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$37.34at 0.831US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$32.12at 0.436Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 17:33 | Will Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.0235668 | $2.36 |
| 08-11 17:31 | Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.27 |
| 08-10 16:51 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.013 | $10.40 |
| 08-07 20:43 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.1092621145 | $99.21 |
| 08-07 18:27 | Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.009059 | $0.91 |
| 08-07 18:25 | Will Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.0028985482 | $0.65 |
| 08-07 18:24 | Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0109 | $1.09 |
| 08-07 18:24 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.062 | $5.89 |
| 08-05 14:36 | Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 06-30 21:54 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.116 | $36.83 |
| 06-24 17:00 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.84 |
| 06-24 16:23 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $260.00 |
| 06-19 19:01 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $15.59 |
| 06-17 13:04 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0246447453 | $7.64 |
| 06-17 01:09 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |