PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8683eEfA7771D2d86E155A3d8484cA0d57b9A547-1764505961280

0x8683eefa7771d2d86e155a3d8484ca0d57b9a547

Realised P&L
$-531.89
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$94.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.045$45.00$55.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2790.202$36.18$13.82
Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0120.005$6.89$8.02
Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0100.022$2.76+$1.58
Will Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0090.004$1.30$1.71
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.0470.004$0.96$9.05
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0240.002$0.65$7.33
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes0.1090.003$0.27$11.53
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0620.003$0.25$5.95
Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0110.001$0.05$1.04
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05$0.95
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$16.67
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? · No0.2240.000$0.00$381.14
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.6830.000$0.00$210.62
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 17:33Will Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.0235668$2.36
08-11 17:31Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.012$0.27
08-10 16:51Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.013$10.40
08-07 20:43Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.1092621145$99.21
08-07 18:27Will Yabloko win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.009059$0.91
08-07 18:25Will Yabloko win the next Novgorod Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.0028985482$0.65
08-07 18:24Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0109$1.09
08-07 18:24Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.062$5.89
08-05 14:36Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.004$0.04
06-30 21:54Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.116$36.83
06-24 17:00Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.13$7.84
06-24 16:23Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.26$260.00
06-19 19:01Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?BUY0.036$15.59
06-17 13:04Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0246447453$7.64
06-17 01:09Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?BUY0.62$6.20