PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x867a04c8a1e572f3e2ed5b2b9b90f7969afc16fc

Realised P&L
$-57.17
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$343.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8770.885$100.86+$0.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.7210.805$53.88+$5.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.8240.885$47.07+$3.23
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No0.7600.815$42.89+$2.89
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.485$40.41+$0.42
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026? · No0.5400.640$34.37+$5.37
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22? · Yes0.7200.435$24.16$15.83
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No0.5630.000$0.00$19.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:07Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.78$61.18
09-19 12:21Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?SELL0.34$36.75
09-19 08:28Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.37$40.00
09-17 18:42Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?BUY0.72$40.00
09-17 14:35Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.51$40.00
09-17 14:29Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.9$46.15
09-17 10:48Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.76$40.00
09-16 22:51Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.85$45.33
09-16 17:03Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?SELL0.9248054565$59.66
09-16 14:00Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.75$40.00
09-16 09:49US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.93$5.60
09-15 03:17Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?BUY0.54$29.00
09-14 19:14Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.48$40.00
09-14 19:06Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?SELL0.74$46.98
09-14 15:09Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?SELL0.643$24.83