PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LordButcher

0x865d7db4a174367ab75a9b8f5d82a515eee816bd

Realised P&L
$28.98
Volume
$419.6k
Markets traded
703
Open portfolio
$867.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded703
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6950.835$334.00+$56.00
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8500.945$189.00+$19.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September? · No0.8500.939$187.80+$17.80
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September? · No0.7760.865$154.86+$15.86
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6430.004$1.75$319.80
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$42.00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? · Yes0.7050.000$0.00$1.1k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$310.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 22:25Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?BUY0.39$78.00
08-30 22:24Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?BUY0.38$76.00
06-15 22:19Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?BUY0.94$47.00
06-15 21:35Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 16?BUY0.94$47.00
06-15 21:32Will the announcers say "Pressure" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.65$13.00
06-15 21:14Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.6872181243$163.04
06-15 20:59Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.35$7.00
06-15 20:37Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.54$21.60
06-15 19:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?BUY0.08$4.00
06-09 19:44S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 9?BUY0.77$154.00
06-07 22:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?BUY0.38$7.60
05-30 09:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.003$0.60
05-05 19:41Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?BUY0.76$57.00
05-03 20:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.21$13.25
05-03 20:39US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.18$36.00