ecea
0x8637cf7701eb76d8658b75a647ad02f4c9d2f87e
- Realised P&L
- $-30.96
- Volume
- $228.96
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $46.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar · Taylor Fritz | 0.620 | 1.000 | $16.13 | +$6.13 |
| National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.650 | 1.000 | $15.38 | +$5.38 |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.216 | $8.33 | −$11.67 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.445 | $6.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.97at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-15.16at 0.748Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 10:06 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 10:06 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3629999982 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 11:33 | National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 08:20 | Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 08:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 09:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999955 | $10.00 |