PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mica1

0x86379b737d1f3d384839a4818fa0acebea899657

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$409.2k
Markets traded
953
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded953
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026? · No0.3100.984$794.09+$543.92
Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? · No0.8800.855$354.31−$10.45
Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026? · No0.8100.955$294.94+$44.65
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8100.936$289.75+$39.14
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.8600.961$279.65+$29.46
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.944$278.33+$27.58
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8950.983$275.23+$24.64
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.974$270.63+$20.43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9210.977$265.61+$15.10
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? · No0.9190.968$263.72+$13.08
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · No0.9200.966$262.62+$12.38
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9200.957$260.17+$10.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? · No0.6700.675$252.45+$1.87
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.895$246.12−$4.12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.8200.725$221.13−$28.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:53Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.89$7.24
10-29 16:57Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.91$45.50
10-29 06:33Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.82$33.42
10-28 21:28Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
10-28 21:28Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.88$5.81
10-28 15:10Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.89$51.74
10-28 15:10Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.88$7.27
10-27 16:13Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.94$47.00
10-27 13:01Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.92$4.60
10-26 16:01Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.96$5.64
10-26 15:11Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.85$5.34
10-26 13:04Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?BUY0.91$10.12
10-26 13:02Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.93$7.31
10-26 11:42Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.93$7.31
10-26 10:24Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026?BUY0.93$13.29