Mica1
0x86379b737d1f3d384839a4818fa0acebea899657
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $409.2k
- Markets traded
- 953
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded953
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.190Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$750.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Satellite" this week?
- +$554.88at 0.474Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
- +$446.83at 0.359Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
- +$426.51at 0.370Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:53 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.24 |
| 10-29 16:57 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-29 06:33 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $33.42 |
| 10-28 21:28 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 10-28 21:28 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.81 |
| 10-28 15:10 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $51.74 |
| 10-28 15:10 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.27 |
| 10-27 16:13 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-27 13:01 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-26 16:01 | Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.64 |
| 10-26 15:11 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.34 |
| 10-26 13:04 | Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.12 |
| 10-26 13:02 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.31 |
| 10-26 11:42 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.31 |
| 10-26 10:24 | Will USD/BRL hit 4.5 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.29 |