Mica1
0x86379b737d1f3d384839a4818fa0acebea899657
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $409.8k
- Markets traded
- 938
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded938
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.190Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$750.00at 0.250Will Trump say "Satellite" this week?
- +$554.88at 0.474Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
- +$446.83at 0.359Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?
- +$426.51at 0.370Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 15? | BUY | 0.709 | $116.98 |
| 09-09 19:20 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.69 | $250.47 |
| 09-09 07:11 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $17.22 |
| 09-09 07:08 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-09 07:07 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $26.83 |
| 09-09 07:07 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $59.93 |
| 09-09 07:06 | Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.7866666667 | $11.80 |
| 09-09 07:01 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 09-09 07:00 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 06:59 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 09-08 20:40 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.86 | $70.52 |
| 09-07 17:36 | US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng | BUY | 0.93 | $250.00 |
| 09-06 19:31 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-06 19:31 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.8882014388 | $246.92 |
| 09-06 17:56 | Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.84 | $250.32 |