PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8635426F730f3dE61a2b2E0DC743FA616AefCB1b-1773760215101

0x8635426f730f3de61a2b2e0dc743fa616aefcb1b

Realised P&L
$4.33
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$13.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Steelers (-2.5) · Steelers0.5300.535$7.49+$0.07
Ethereum Up or Down on October 11? · Up0.5400.245$3.67−$4.42
Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5 · Under0.5300.515$2.58−$0.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00−$2.05
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$21.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$14.14
Spread: Virginia (-9.5) · Virginia0.5200.000$0.00−$5.20
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00−$9.99
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00−$5.94
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4450.000$0.00−$2.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$20.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.6700.000$0.00−$8.16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2130.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 08:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.6199999887$7.68
10-11 07:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ETBUY0.92$7.36
10-11 03:00Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5BUY0.53$2.65
10-11 02:43Ethereum Up or Down on October 11?BUY0.54$8.10
10-10 22:45Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)BUY0.48$5.28
10-10 22:43UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.59$9.44
10-10 20:49Timberwolves vs. HeatBUY0.59$4.72
10-10 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4PM ETBUY0.66$9.90
10-10 17:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.3$1.50
10-10 16:35Spread: Steelers (-2.5)BUY0.53$7.42
10-10 06:00East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel: O/U 53.5BUY0.48$4.80
10-10 06:00William & Mary vs. North Carolina CentralBUY0.44$6.60
10-10 05:24Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?BUY0.71$6.39
10-10 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.24$9.99
10-10 03:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.339999984$6.37