AndrewCobb8170
0x8624b054c17a719b20464da2709ff2939a5bb484
- Realised P&L
- $156.79
- Volume
- $312.8k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $475.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$427.79at 0.190Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
- +$284.39at 0.280Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$189.23at 0.654Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$145.11at 0.790Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
- +$144.78at 0.620Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 12:34 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $81.28 |
| 04-21 08:25 | Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | SELL | 0.394 | $104.41 |
| 02-08 16:43 | Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $97.52 |
| 01-11 18:29 | Will John Harbaugh join the Atlanta Falcons prior to April 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $134.16 |
| 01-11 06:57 | Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | BUY | 0.79 | $545.89 |
| 01-11 06:25 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $19.05 |
| 01-11 04:48 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $12.76 |
| 01-11 00:48 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $25.53 |
| 01-11 00:36 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $177.10 |
| 01-10 22:46 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.21 |
| 01-10 21:43 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $208.84 |
| 01-10 21:04 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $440.44 |
| 01-10 20:04 | Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $80.56 |
| 01-10 19:42 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $83.48 |
| 01-10 19:40 | Deel IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $216.90 |