PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Daneurttgt

0x861eb8b9cc4cbe0c19e506a6d3cbf054aeef8a4f

Realised P&L
$-118.52
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$49.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6300.715$48.31+$5.74
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.019$0.60−$3.40
StripChain FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.8300.315$0.38−$0.62
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$3.75
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 · Over0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 15:422026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.629999996$42.57
10-19 15:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.757$43.70
10-06 11:55Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8399999979$48.50
10-03 10:05Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.5$51.31
09-24 09:50Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5951079668$60.07
09-24 09:49Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
09-21 13:51Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.161$1.13
09-21 13:29Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?BUY0.1419999903$1.00
08-29 08:07Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?SELL0.9628387982$63.13
08-17 11:23Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?BUY0.8799999938$56.71
08-17 11:23Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
08-11 09:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?BUY0.994$57.00
08-08 20:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?BUY0.9909999985$57.00
08-07 12:34StripChain FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
08-06 09:45Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?BUY0.9939999892$57.00