PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x861b9c0a4a6daa4427fa68d9050575f2b6ea6b90

0x861b9c0a4a6daa4427fa68d9050575f2b6ea6b90

Realised P&L
$2.29
Volume
$265.69
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$8.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.950$3.45+$1.16
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7500.825$1.10+$0.10
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.4100.385$0.94−$0.06
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.6100.560$0.92−$0.08
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4600.420$0.91−$0.09
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.390$0.87−$0.13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.3300.155$0.47−$0.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:25Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-11 14:17Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 02:49Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.749999625$1.00
10-10 06:46Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-09 17:41Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-09 09:25Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 00:59Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-07 16:36Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-07 16:02Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-07 04:49SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 20:47Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-06 20:46Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-06 12:16Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-06 04:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-05 16:41S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?BUY0.726999904$1.00