Kindny
0x86070ee8a777dc470fd4cad5d36623e41731aee6
- Realised P&L
- $377.72
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $23.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions · LG Twins | 0.548 | 0.744 | $13.34 | +$3.51 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.939 | 0.958 | $10.20 | +$0.20 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.34 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina · Linda Noskova | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.78 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Predators vs. Sharks · Sharks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Rockets vs. Bulls · Rockets | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Wild vs. Predators · Wild | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.84at 0.092Pistons vs. Magic
- +$50.80at 0.535Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$50.37at 0.383Stars vs. Wild
- +$47.86at 0.479Hornets vs. Magic
- +$41.86at 0.500Suns vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.15 |
| 07-20 12:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.00 |
| 07-20 12:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 07-10 21:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9199999799 | $27.45 |
| 07-10 21:42 | Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Riders | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:42 | NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:42 | Toronto Argonauts vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:41 | Will EC Juventude win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:41 | Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:41 | Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:41 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 21:40 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5149999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 21:40 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4224999888 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 20:24 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 21:15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $9.83 |