PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x85e33939a576403d4b21f63b169843b2b6ddaaa2

Realised P&L
$9.84
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$107.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.305$50.83$4.17
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · No0.7400.905$23.24+$4.24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.085$17.31$37.69
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.959$11.15+$1.15
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8200.915$2.23+$0.23
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0800.024$1.20$2.80
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.018$0.69$2.31
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.8300.395$0.48$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 11:56Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
06-05 11:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3299999886$15.00
06-05 11:55Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999953$40.00
06-05 11:55Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.329999995$40.00
05-24 20:28Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$3.00
05-24 20:28Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.03$0.50
05-19 18:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8599999742$10.00
05-19 18:34Will Neymar play in the World Cup?BUY0.9399997556$2.00
05-18 20:57Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.32$2.00
05-18 20:54Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.08$4.00
05-18 20:54Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?BUY0.68$2.00
05-18 20:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.9459994078$1.00
05-17 20:58Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?BUY0.4038619317$2.00
05-17 20:54Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
05-17 20:54Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.8299997053$2.00