PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ionlyfade

0x85d1706e3183a81548ab3d9e36a5c76e49cff0b4

Realised P&L
$-33.29
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
1,554
Open portfolio
$112.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,554
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%? · No0.4800.723$7.36+$2.47
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? · No0.4900.995$4.97+$2.52
Spread: Patriots (-7.5) · Dolphins0.5500.780$3.90+$1.15
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.755$3.77+$1.02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.715$3.58+$0.82
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Girl0.5000.690$3.52+$0.97
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5400.635$3.23+$0.48
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · Yes0.5400.630$3.21+$0.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? · No0.5200.605$3.08+$0.43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · No0.5500.580$2.90+$0.15
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.5300.555$2.83+$0.13
Senators vs. Ducks · Senators0.5400.535$2.72−$0.03
Spread: Warriors (-2.5) · Clippers0.5300.525$2.67−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2? · Yes0.4800.530$2.65+$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5100.505$2.57−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:04Senators vs. DucksBUY0.5399999568$2.75
11-01 18:50Set 1 Winner: Borna Gojo vs Zsombor PirosBUY0.5$2.55
11-01 18:49Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.4799999705$2.60
11-01 18:46Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.46$2.30
11-01 18:44SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.46$2.30
11-01 17:46SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5BUY0.55$2.75
11-01 17:44Clippers vs. WarriorsBUY0.46$2.30
11-01 17:40Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.5099999215$2.60
11-01 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.5001922307$2.55
11-01 17:10Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
11-01 17:09Real Cundinamarca vs. Tigres FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.46$2.30
11-01 16:51US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.49$2.45
11-01 16:50Telekom Baskets Bonn vs. Alba BerlinBUY0.5$2.55
11-01 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.5$2.55
11-01 15:44Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.49$2.45