0x85B808A1a3Ac18DcFe31D0F010D09D598598c84D-1767791714660
0x85b808a1a3ac18dcfe31d0f010d09d598598c84d
- Realised P&L
- $-499.11
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $871.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$534.20at 0.589Ethereum Up or Down on April 6?
- +$209.52at 0.170Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$200.79at 0.577SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
- +$136.62at 0.730Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$114.43at 0.281Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 21:22 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 21? | BUY | 0.46 | $14.72 |
| 05-20 13:48 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.86 |
| 05-20 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 05-20 13:03 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.857 | $30.00 |
| 05-20 12:46 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.20 |
| 05-20 12:46 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May? | BUY | 0.49 | $29.79 |
| 05-20 06:11 | BNB Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 05-20 05:40 | BNB Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.62 |
| 05-20 05:38 | BNB Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.99 |
| 05-20 05:03 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.60 |
| 05-20 01:42 | Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.62 | $43.90 |
| 05-20 01:28 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $19.11 |
| 05-19 01:22 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-18 16:11 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 19? | BUY | 0.4575 | $9.15 |
| 05-18 16:07 | BNB Up or Down on May 19? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.58 |