0x85b1889380c88c92b63bd9ccfc18f541329de9c3
0x85b1889380c88c92b63bd9ccfc18f541329de9c3
- Realised P&L
- $-231.62
- Volume
- $40.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,812
- Open portfolio
- $29.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,812
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.895 | $18.92 | +$2.01 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.936 | 0.971 | $5.16 | +$0.19 |
| Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.905 | $4.91 | +$3.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.065 | $0.68 | −$5.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.97at 0.032Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$37.65at 0.121Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$32.16at 0.133Counter-Strike: FTUR vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B
- +$28.04at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$27.04at 0.103LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 01:18 | Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY | 0.3006885856 | $4.85 |
| 06-23 08:13 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.91 |
| 06-23 08:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999704 | $5.97 |
| 06-22 09:23 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5199999873 | $4.91 |
| 06-21 19:50 | Hasan Piker arrested by June 30? | SELL | 0.697285576 | $14.41 |
| 06-20 16:05 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.40 |
| 06-20 14:53 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.2555726417 | $4.97 |
| 06-20 09:50 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.2496318681 | $8.18 |
| 06-20 09:50 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.05 |
| 06-20 08:36 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.743999982 | $4.97 |
| 06-20 01:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9359999985 | $4.97 |
| 06-19 22:56 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.2949999691 | $4.97 |
| 06-19 22:56 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999698 | $4.97 |
| 06-19 22:56 | Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.3189999625 | $4.97 |
| 06-11 19:50 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.70 |