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Traders

aegis777

0x859d077ae3232fdecce2510dbcd1764cb51afccb

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$215.4k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$569.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2030.135$508.28$256.77
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3700.115$46.00$102.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0900.005$6.60$101.40
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$4.14$10.14
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0320.017$3.30$3.10
Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.5000.015$1.47$46.03
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00$227.73
Iran leadership change by August 15? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$25.75
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00$115.02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$816.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$87.57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$172.40
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$83.45
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$187.95
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$349.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 18:40Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.032$6.40
08-26 15:56Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.005$11.45
08-26 15:54Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.004$22.14
08-21 02:45Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$4.69
08-21 02:38Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.004$28.52
08-19 01:51Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.004$10.00
08-19 01:45Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.9854782353$83.77
08-19 01:40Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?SELL0.985742$9.86
08-08 00:05Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.008$40.00
08-07 23:25Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0419762799$53.09
07-04 06:31Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?SELL0.23$4.18
06-15 17:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.0047880085$46.38
06-15 17:31Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?SELL0.0255773015$25.58
06-14 21:28Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?SELL0.0565675826$88.50
06-14 21:04Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?SELL0.117$11.70
Trader aegis777 · PolyBot Pro