aegis777
0x859d077ae3232fdecce2510dbcd1764cb51afccb
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $215.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $569.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$484.55at 0.510Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$342.25at 0.251Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$294.03at 0.309Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$149.00at 0.230Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$140.46at 0.220Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 18:40 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $6.40 |
| 08-26 15:56 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $11.45 |
| 08-26 15:54 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $22.14 |
| 08-21 02:45 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.69 |
| 08-21 02:38 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $28.52 |
| 08-19 01:51 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 01:45 | Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.9854782353 | $83.77 |
| 08-19 01:40 | Will Eric Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.985742 | $9.86 |
| 08-08 00:05 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $40.00 |
| 08-07 23:25 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.0419762799 | $53.09 |
| 07-04 06:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.18 |
| 06-15 17:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.0047880085 | $46.38 |
| 06-15 17:31 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.0255773015 | $25.58 |
| 06-14 21:28 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.0565675826 | $88.50 |
| 06-14 21:04 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | SELL | 0.117 | $11.70 |