PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8589d0073801c343070cc36eb1e360270a0a3452

0x8589d0073801c343070cc36eb1e360270a0a3452

Realised P&L
$407.68
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$360.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8930.984$329.22+$30.22
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? · Yes0.1300.038$29.62−$70.41
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · No0.8000.954$1.19+$0.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3? · No0.1270.000$0.00−$9.95
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$9.95
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6450.000$0.00−$80.00
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$50.00
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? · No0.3630.000$0.00−$49.75
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3? · No0.0360.000$0.00−$9.95
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 00:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.061$29.61
04-17 16:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.992$179.56
04-16 05:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.99$179.20
04-08 11:54Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?BUY0.3631169581$49.75
04-08 11:54Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.1299999895$9.95
04-02 06:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 3?BUY0.0339999968$8.57
04-02 06:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 3?BUY0.11899999$8.69
04-02 06:49Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?BUY0.8$1.00
04-01 03:48Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$199.00
03-21 01:21Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999951$100.00
03-19 07:33Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL0.74$49.34
03-19 07:32Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL0.74$49.33
03-11 07:47Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.75$50.00
03-11 07:45Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.7499999887$50.00
03-10 07:26Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1029999982$50.00