PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

web3-SocialValue

0x8568f55849e70fddffa56002061b3c76965d7ac8

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$29.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9130.962$19.23+$0.97
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.4770.157$5.39$11.01
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1820.065$5.36$9.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-16 19:21Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.3101042$48.51
04-16 19:20Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.23$9.58
04-16 19:19China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1253271028$10.33
04-16 19:19Iran leadership change by May 31?SELL0.12$35.80
04-16 19:19Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.16$25.61
04-16 19:18Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.06$4.29
04-16 19:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?SELL0.09$10.80
04-16 19:18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.11$11.38
04-13 07:10Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.992$33.78
04-12 14:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.027$3.86
04-12 14:48China x Philippines military clash before 2027?SELL0.1999705941$29.92
04-12 09:05Iran leadership change by May 31?BUY0.1899999678$3.90
04-12 09:04Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.09$3.89
04-09 05:00Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.4667375629$81.81
04-09 04:55China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18205104$30.00