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Traders

0x854e4d73287126Df3966b187d29dB7C4CD4Fb675-1767787438325

0x854e4d73287126df3966b187d29db7c4cd4fb675

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$271.0k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$6.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.7110.920$5.9k+$1.3k
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.8100.865$535.22+$34.03
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.006$54.06+$27.03
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7990.966$4.61+$0.80
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6470.135$0.16−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 05:50Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.81$501.19
09-22 18:11Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2001818927$43.98
09-22 18:10Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.2064488$5.16
09-22 18:10Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.21225$6.37
09-22 18:10Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.22$12.54
09-22 18:10Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1940497148$102.07
09-22 18:09Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1921836977$165.28
09-22 18:09Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.221$11.05
09-22 18:08Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.21714487$434.29
09-22 18:08Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.222031225$355.25
09-22 18:07Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.25$37.50
09-22 18:07Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.216$32.40
09-22 18:06Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.22$33.00
09-22 18:06Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.22$33.00
09-22 18:06Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?SELL0.22$33.00
Trader 0x854e4d73287126Df3966b187d29dB7C4CD4Fb675-1767787438325 · PolyBot Pro