PolyBot

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Traders

0x854e4d73287126Df3966b187d29dB7C4CD4Fb675-1767787438325

0x854e4d73287126df3966b187d29db7c4cd4fb675

Realised P&L
$11.4k
Volume
$259.9k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6150.854$8.4k+$2.3k
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · No0.6940.870$5.1k+$1.0k
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.001$4.50$22.52
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7990.935$4.46+$0.65
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6470.145$0.18$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:14Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8999999946$117.20
09-18 05:13Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$69.75
09-17 19:49Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8840831289$53.12
09-17 19:36Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$99.51
09-09 13:03Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.8474847778$160.25
09-09 13:03Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$53.20
09-09 13:01Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.8382300885$23.68
09-08 19:06Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$80.75
09-08 19:02Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.8$171.40
09-08 19:01Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$120.65
09-08 18:29Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$50.35
09-08 18:27Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.8093445257$197.56
09-08 18:26Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$197.60
09-07 20:01Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.81$34.79
09-07 16:50Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31BUY0.8099999838$4.00