TheArchitect76
0x854dd4db9230143f19bccfd6850aacb6facbdeb0
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $1.76M
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $27.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.905 | $13.7k | +$3.7k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.961 | $10.6k | +$1.7k |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.400 | 1.000 | $3.0k | +$1.8k |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.145 | $13.99 | −$43.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.5kat 0.098Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$6.4kat 0.150Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$5.6kat 0.017Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$4.8kat 0.576Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.618Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 16:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.1k |
| 08-30 13:53 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.2941805 | $294.18 |
| 07-30 12:40 | Ferencvárosi TC vs. FC Twente '65: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.34 | $129.20 |
| 07-30 12:35 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 07-30 12:33 | Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.53 | $447.42 |
| 07-30 12:28 | Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 07-30 12:26 | Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.19 | $190.00 |
| 07-30 12:20 | Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FC Vaduz: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.038985785 | $79.10 |
| 07-29 18:10 | Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 07-18 08:49 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 08:48 | Désiré Doué: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.1899999995 | $250.00 |
| 07-18 08:47 | Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2016129032 | $250.00 |
| 07-18 08:45 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-14 08:37 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.607 | $1.2k |
| 07-14 08:36 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.216 | $1.0k |