PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

r0ssan0

0x84f5aa7d7ff5efc1b46f74ea507e04278d9d0221

Realised P&L
$-16.89
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$43.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1330.125$18.82$1.18
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.120$15.00$5.00
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0110.009$3.86$1.14
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0360.018$2.53$2.47
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.055$1.69$2.31
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0180.005$0.92$2.08
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.015$0.69$0.31
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0150.001$0.07$0.93
Will Trump say "Abraham Accords" this week? (October 13 - 19) · No0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15? · No0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.02
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 20:48Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
08-28 20:47Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$10.00
08-27 19:45Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0109999978$5.00
08-27 19:43Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
08-27 19:28Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0179999942$3.00
08-27 19:21Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.0356388294$5.00
08-25 07:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.961$134.60
03-06 05:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8299999974$116.25
03-01 23:22 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.1944167239$5.00
02-28 20:01Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.965$29.55
02-28 13:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.7699999931$23.58
02-28 13:56Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.3$23.08
01-25 13:16Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?BUY0.359999977$5.00
01-25 13:12Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
01-25 13:11Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1328468557$20.00