r0ssan0
0x84f5aa7d7ff5efc1b46f74ea507e04278d9d0221
- Realised P&L
- $-16.89
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $43.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.14at 0.830Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$6.60at 0.230Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
- +$5.97at 0.770Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$3.08at 0.260Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.34at 0.470Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 20:48 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 20:47 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 19:45 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0109999978 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 19:43 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 19:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999942 | $3.00 |
| 08-27 19:21 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0356388294 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 07:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $134.60 |
| 03-06 05:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999974 | $116.25 |
| 03-01 23:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.1944167239 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 20:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.965 | $29.55 |
| 02-28 13:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7699999931 | $23.58 |
| 02-28 13:56 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.3 | $23.08 |
| 01-25 13:16 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 13:12 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 01-25 13:11 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1328468557 | $20.00 |