PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x84EA96812cD284db80D5cbf2C2905fc020Ee67c2-1777914705920

0x84ea96812cd284db80d5cbf2c2905fc020ee67c2

Realised P&L
$-153.83
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$520.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5100.435$520.21−$89.79
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3990.000$0.00−$208.46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 20:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.45$8.46
07-09 11:26Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3899999959$50.00
07-05 21:22Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.16$4.00
07-05 21:22Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.16$5.00
07-05 21:22Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-04 11:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$150.00
06-29 16:34Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4899999991$100.00
06-29 16:32Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
06-29 16:31Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-29 16:31Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1$5.00
06-06 11:31Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.5184394962$90.00
06-03 09:38Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
06-02 16:37Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?SELL0.018$0.11
06-02 12:28Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?SELL0.001$0.01
06-02 11:20Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?BUY0.3299998927$2.00