Alyosm
0x84e11b7e38e9177c811489152ff487af4f1f61d0
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $621.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,028
- Open portfolio
- $129.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,028
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.052US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$904.44at 0.090Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$607.69at 0.208Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$476.49at 0.031Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $232.02 |
| 07-28 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8533633923 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $81.33 |
| 07-22 22:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999955 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9461105789 | $792.37 |
| 07-22 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | SELL | 0.0688 | $6.88 |
| 07-22 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $46.81 |
| 07-22 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $428.37 |
| 07-22 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.693312309 | $300.00 |
| 07-22 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $35.49 |
| 07-22 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2817651292 | $50.00 |
| 07-21 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $95.80 |
| 07-21 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999996 | $60.00 |