0xFeC1DD6D861aee5766d57F956773da0Eb1F80c58-1768994435088
0x84dcfecae8bf774e5228ba691e33c6061153728e
- Realised P&L
- $35.57
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $96.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.435 | $41.27 | +$12.86 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.341 | $18.89 | +$3.89 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.135 | $16.88 | +$6.88 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $9.82 | −$0.18 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No | 0.043 | 0.040 | $9.30 | −$0.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.13at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$14.74at 0.139Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.270330839 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 04:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | SELL | 0.2145552314 | $49.28 |
| 10-11 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1312499992 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 04:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999993 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $36.66 |
| 10-11 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:35 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2997889543 | $28.41 |