PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x84c9C5b57931d87106CEb8086f596D3DbFC565F1-1768154390333

0x84c9c5b57931d87106ceb8086f596d3dbfc565f1

Realised P&L
$-408.41
Volume
$29.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$94.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.130$46.43$53.57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.040$28.21$71.78
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2600.065$19.50$58.50
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$21.00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$11.88
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$15.50
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.5670.000$0.00$92.40
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$8.00
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$19.50
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$136.00
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$21.00
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$115.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$8.41
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 22:53Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.109$177.13
05-01 13:39Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.041$41.00
05-01 13:39Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.015$15.00
03-09 18:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.42$42.00
02-04 12:21Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
02-02 15:37Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?BUY0.3$3.00
02-02 15:37Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?BUY0.38$19.00
02-01 14:24Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?BUY0.42$7.94
01-23 23:49Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.8$50.40
01-23 23:36Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0158386529$47.50
01-23 23:36Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0222534978$66.74
01-23 23:35Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.0261618973$78.46
01-23 15:56Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?BUY0.35$35.00
01-23 15:54Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0405$2.02
01-20 17:21Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?BUY0.2241779218$101.00