0x84c9C5b57931d87106CEb8086f596D3DbFC565F1-1768154390333
0x84c9c5b57931d87106ceb8086f596d3dbfc565f1
- Realised P&L
- $-408.41
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $94.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.99at 0.360Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
- +$44.40at 0.630Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
- +$36.50at 0.014Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
- +$36.13at 0.087Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$35.00at 0.300Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 22:53 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.109 | $177.13 |
| 05-01 13:39 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $41.00 |
| 05-01 13:39 | Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.00 |
| 03-09 18:49 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 02-04 12:21 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 02-02 15:37 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 02-02 15:37 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 02-01 14:24 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $7.94 |
| 01-23 23:49 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.40 |
| 01-23 23:36 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0158386529 | $47.50 |
| 01-23 23:36 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0222534978 | $66.74 |
| 01-23 23:35 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0261618973 | $78.46 |
| 01-23 15:56 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 01-23 15:54 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0405 | $2.02 |
| 01-20 17:21 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2241779218 | $101.00 |