PolyBot

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Traders

SupremeGlow

0x84bd63bd027660dbade1fe92e73b4cf571b12429

Realised P&L
$1.17
Volume
$317.37
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$6.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5600.484$5.38−$0.84
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9340.967$1.14+$0.04
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00−$2.88
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 13:23Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?BUY0.9489999925$2.39
01-08 22:09Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?SELL0.88$3.93
01-05 12:36Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.95$4.25
12-08 09:06Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?BUY0.89$4.72
12-01 11:24Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?BUY0.92$10.12
11-23 17:52Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.984$5.90
11-07 12:36Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?BUY0.988$98.80
11-05 09:32Maduro out by November 30, 2025?BUY0.93$9.30
10-29 16:11Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?BUY0.973$106.06
10-27 17:44Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?BUY0.95$4.77
10-26 10:40Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.984$4.92
10-23 18:51Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.9199998106$1.36
10-21 18:56French election called by December 31?SELL0.32$0.50
10-21 18:52Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?SELL0.999$3.12
10-21 15:52Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.9249999709$1.59