OldTinyDeactivated
0x849769b6d6e66fd3359c675db58c41a85ddba3b4
- Realised P&L
- $-228.59
- Volume
- $146.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,161
- Open portfolio
- $2.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,161
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.85at 0.126Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
- +$178.25at 0.531Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$177.64at 0.099Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
- +$126.75at 0.119Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?
- +$121.29at 0.174Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 07:41 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.10 |
| 04-22 07:41 | Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.0185889475 | $0.60 |
| 04-22 07:40 | Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.56 |
| 04-22 07:40 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.96 | $0.36 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.12 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.32 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $0.11 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.21 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.16 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.32 |
| 04-22 07:07 | Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? | SELL | 0.1616111111 | $0.58 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.54 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.54 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.40 |