0x848d78b30fdcc11468675665ab32bc310f89eaa1
- Realised P&L
- $12.72
- Volume
- $382.39
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $11.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.590 | 1.000 | $3.39 | +$1.39 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.911 | $2.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.470 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.450 | 0.125 | $0.56 | −$1.44 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.105 | $0.45 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$6.33at 0.240US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:01 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 18:01 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 10:00 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:25 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 10:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 01:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 23:19 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:07 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 08:34 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6899997205 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |