0x848B3CAbf84D0D4C040bF63498f69662bEfa648a-1766169913498
0x848b3cabf84d0d4c040bf63498f69662befa648a
- Realised P&L
- $-276.50
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $81.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.93at 0.196Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.22at 0.246Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$57.59at 0.385UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$56.85at 0.260Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$40.58at 0.339Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 10:45 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5939999824 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 00:12 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 10-25 00:09 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 00:09 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.1236837116 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 23:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 23:56 | Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276900654 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 23:50 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 10-24 23:49 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 10-24 23:49 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | SELL | 0.0222400669 | $5.05 |
| 09-24 17:57 | Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | BUY | 0.2199999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 15:16 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $339.27 |
| 07-12 22:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2049999984 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 22:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2149999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 00:24 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |