PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fdavid

0x847169771f4587277102a915a0ea224dc67cdb7d

Realised P&L
$-647.44
Volume
$47.3k
Markets traded
226
Open portfolio
$313.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded226
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0660.055$62.20$12.80
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? · Yes0.0400.271$46.23+$39.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.225$45.00+$5.00
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3000.250$41.67$8.33
Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.1870.155$37.24$7.76
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1470.065$30.90$39.10
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0290.018$20.90$13.10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1500.095$19.00$11.00
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · Yes0.1550.105$6.76$3.24
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · Yes0.0360.017$3.66$4.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.3020.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.4320.000$0.00$24.02
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 Winner · Nongshim Esports Academy0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Down0.3530.000$0.00$15.00
US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe · Martin Damm0.1000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-17 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-17 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
09-17 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-17 19:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1$10.00
09-17 19:23Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1129096821$5.00
09-17 19:22Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
09-17 19:22Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.02$5.00
09-17 19:21Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?BUY0.025$1.00
09-17 19:18Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?SELL0.3750617838$30.11
09-14 18:17Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?BUY0.0360535932$8.00
09-14 18:17Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?BUY0.0398592288$10.00
09-14 18:15Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?BUY0.1553398058$10.00
09-14 18:05Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.0699999999$10.00
09-14 16:57Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.02$10.00