Fdavid
0x847169771f4587277102a915a0ea224dc67cdb7d
- Realised P&L
- $-647.44
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $313.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.86at 0.140US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$112.27at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$108.43at 0.347Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
- +$94.38at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$82.11at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 19:23 | Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1129096821 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:22 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:22 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:21 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:18 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | SELL | 0.3750617838 | $30.11 |
| 09-14 18:17 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0360535932 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 18:17 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0398592288 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 18:15 | Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | BUY | 0.1553398058 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 18:05 | Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 16:57 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |