JEJElosquesaben
0x846d3a3322fba974ae4661eb29f699395ca62135
- Realised P&L
- $-8.02
- Volume
- $789.06
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $65.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · No | 0.800 | 0.790 | $19.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.705 | $12.59 | +$2.59 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.785 | $9.59 | +$0.67 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.433 | 0.394 | $9.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.910 | 0.885 | $5.83 | −$0.16 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.940 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No | 0.840 | 0.795 | $2.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.908 | $1.05 | −$0.05 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.42at 0.777Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$4.97at 0.673Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.67at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$2.15at 0.847Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?
- +$0.45at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 04:12 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9099999985 | $5.99 |
| 10-07 04:10 | Will USD/BRL hit 7 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.10 |
| 10-07 04:09 | Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 04:04 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 04:04 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.84 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 03:57 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4329999854 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 03:53 | Will Guillermo Moreno win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.7391982049 | $29.65 |
| 10-07 01:15 | Will Guillermo Moreno win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.9970331264 | $40.00 |
| 10-07 01:15 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.60 |
| 10-07 00:29 | Will Axel Kicillof win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:05 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.2399999952 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-05 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-05 04:46 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $1.34 |
| 10-05 04:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.20 |