0x8453b237d9a2e3e3c602010e844f85e1be7ef500
0x8453b237d9a2e3e3c602010e844f85e1be7ef500
- Realised P&L
- $-2.33
- Volume
- $167.82
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $3.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.825 | $1.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.955 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.110 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.045 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$1.83at 0.359WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 17:59 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:50 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:38 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:04 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:26 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:36 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:24 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:57 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |