PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8453b237d9a2e3e3c602010e844f85e1be7ef500

0x8453b237d9a2e3e3c602010e844f85e1be7ef500

Realised P&L
$-2.33
Volume
$167.82
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$3.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · No0.5400.825$1.53+$0.53
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.955$1.52+$0.52
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.6100.110$0.18−$0.82
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.7900.045$0.06−$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 17:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-14 09:50Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-14 01:38Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-11 01:04Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-10 21:50Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-06 20:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-06 12:29Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-06 04:26Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-05 16:57Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-05 00:53Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-02 14:16Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-02 06:04S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-01 11:36SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-01 03:24Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-30 15:57Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6199997024$1.00