PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x84194eae9c63c1e3a769976bb762506d3443156d

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
0
Open portfolio
$144.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded0
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1391.000$114.06+$98.17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1640.157$7.82$0.36
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 · Under0.6801.000$7.35+$2.35
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2080.153$5.89$2.11
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8971.000$5.57+$0.57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.019$1.86$0.14
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0390.004$1.08$10.92
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0100.003$1.03$2.97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? · No0.3090.000$0.00$82.66
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.62
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$14.40
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.0650.000$0.00$5.94
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No0.0580.000$0.00$6.36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$4.91
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.