PolyBot

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Traders

dawnwolf

0x840fa3035290fd70cc9d5d6b2a3a5b7d0fffd346

Realised P&L
$-5.51
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$34.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7800.665$13.55−$2.34
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes0.5200.465$10.51−$1.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16? · No0.9100.871$10.10−$0.46
Seoul Thunders vs. LG Sakers · LG Sakers0.5700.000$0.00−$6.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 10?BUY0.6099999906$14.88
01-31 13:41Will Solana dip to $90 in January?BUY0.999$3.56
01-31 13:23Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$10.05
01-30 16:16Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$22.46
01-30 14:54Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$11.69
01-30 14:13Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?BUY0.995$46.32
12-30 11:33Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.999$16.22
12-29 21:52Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$15.64
12-29 21:07Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?BUY0.998$40.80
12-29 20:41Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$22.56
10-30 19:46Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$27.79
10-30 19:24Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$24.12
10-30 17:53Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?BUY0.999$23.31
09-29 14:08Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$12.81
09-28 23:54Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.997$10.05