PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PredictionOSINT

0x840b77843a5753678c8a6f38dc057e78a99ccbd3

Realised P&L
$-0.65
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$67.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.402$20.07+$5.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1610.160$14.36$0.14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0320.051$10.10+$3.70
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3000.400$7.90+$1.98
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.6380.315$7.88$8.07
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.3540.385$3.37+$0.27
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.3300.325$3.25$0.05
Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? · Yes0.0110.005$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 21:13Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.31$0.62
09-03 21:34Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.38$7.60
08-31 22:42Will Mariana Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?BUY0.011$0.27
08-30 13:38Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.002$0.03
08-29 22:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.994$29.82
08-17 20:52US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.947$11.35
08-10 19:45No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.771$7.71
08-10 19:42No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.771$7.71
08-10 16:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.94$18.79
08-10 10:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.08$0.83
08-08 23:13Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.61$1.22
08-04 23:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2899999478$3.00
04-29 20:43Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
04-27 22:33Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?BUY0.75$3.69
04-27 22:31Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.59$2.88