PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

euclidean

0x83ef16c29190d33a1c011e492d65611b2e50cb02

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$52.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7210.350$24.27−$25.73
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2700.280$15.12+$0.54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.295$4.76−$0.24
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3200.295$4.61−$0.39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7980.791$2.97−$0.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$0.62−$0.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.6330.000$0.00−$16.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$2.60
Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0470.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$6.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12? · Up0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.1770.000$0.00−$2.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.1490.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 17:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.7979999979$3.00
10-13 13:23Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?SELL0.0565302569$2.60
10-13 13:03Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.1399999995$6.00
10-13 04:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.6299999764$4.00
10-13 04:25Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-13 04:24Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.77$9.74
10-13 03:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2699999993$11.58
10-13 03:16Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0072062334$1.00
10-13 03:15Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
10-12 11:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 12?BUY0.8399999948$13.00
10-12 11:23Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
10-12 10:13Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.32$5.00
10-12 10:12S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.599999988$10.00
10-12 10:10Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
10-12 10:08Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7211538456$50.00