sgtmike
0x839f591af24da3f1322de4620ca54e053418d3f5
- Realised P&L
- $-116.68
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,788
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,788
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.36at 0.210Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
- +$24.45at 0.450Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$17.86at 0.338Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C
- +$16.74at 0.400Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31?
- +$14.44at 0.140Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:45 | Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.7799999845 | $5.02 |
| 08-03 05:23 | Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? | BUY | 0.8266081528 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 05:23 | National Bank Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskova | BUY | 0.7599999698 | $5.03 |
| 08-03 05:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9499998277 | $4.41 |
| 08-03 05:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.47 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7399999973 | $5.42 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $3.13 |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999787 | $4.17 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 05:04 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.21 |
| 08-03 05:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5 | BUY | 0.5099999444 | $2.20 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.7599999644 | $4.27 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5 | $4.90 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5031205804 | $4.90 |