PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sgtmike

0x839f591af24da3f1322de4620ca54e053418d3f5

Realised P&L
$-194.16
Volume
$43.5k
Markets traded
12,463
Open portfolio
$11.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,463
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.6690.525$1.41$0.39
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10? · No0.5200.605$1.16+$0.16
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions0.6100.670$1.10+$0.10
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw? · No0.7100.735$1.04+$0.04
Will CA Bucaramanga vs. AD Pasto end in a draw? · No0.8500.760$0.89$0.11
SC Freiburg vs. Crystal Palace: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.6400.500$0.78$0.22
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16? · Yes0.5650.440$0.78$0.22
Counter-Strike: Strael-Bora vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · ReThink0.5000.250$0.76$0.76
Will CA Penarol Montevideo win on 2026-08-08? · Yes0.5200.385$0.74$0.26
Will SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw? · No0.7600.505$0.66$0.34
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6100.375$0.61$0.39
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions · Samsung Lions0.4180.251$0.60$0.40
Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6300.355$0.56$0.44
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.3600.120$0.54$1.09
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · No0.1860.063$0.34$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 07:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?SELL0.04$0.05
08-20 07:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22?SELL0.03$0.04
08-20 07:19Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?SELL0.02$0.04
08-20 07:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 23?SELL0.04$0.05
08-20 07:19Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.03$0.17
08-20 07:19Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 20?SELL0.13$0.21
08-20 07:18ITF M25 Lesa Men: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Giovanni OradiniSELL0.55$0.94
08-20 07:18ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Weiyi Kong vs M Rifqi FitriadiSELL0.999$1.46
08-20 07:16Will Ogre United win on 2026-08-03?SELL0.01$0.04
08-20 07:15KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan BearsSELL0.12$0.45
08-20 07:15Will FC Naples win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.03$0.15
08-20 07:15Will MIBR Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?SELL0.8$3.68
08-20 07:15Will FULL SENSE Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?SELL0.01$0.20
08-20 07:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.04$0.09
08-20 07:12US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.03$0.09