PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sgtmike

0x839f591af24da3f1322de4620ca54e053418d3f5

Realised P&L
$-116.68
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
3,788
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,788
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:45Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-03?BUY0.7799999845$5.02
08-03 05:23Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?BUY0.8266081528$4.40
08-03 05:23National Bank Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina PliskovaBUY0.7599999698$5.03
08-03 05:20Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3?BUY0.9499998277$4.41
08-03 05:17Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 3?BUY0.84$4.47
08-03 05:13Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageBUY0.7399999973$5.42
08-03 05:10Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6$3.13
08-03 05:10Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.8899999787$4.17
08-03 05:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 3?BUY0.94$4.40
08-03 05:04Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.84$4.21
08-03 05:03Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?BUY0.4$4.00
08-03 04:59Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5BUY0.5099999444$2.20
08-03 04:59Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 3?BUY0.7599999644$4.27
08-03 04:52Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5$4.90
08-03 04:52Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5031205804$4.90