sgtmike
0x839f591af24da3f1322de4620ca54e053418d3f5
- Realised P&L
- $-194.16
- Volume
- $43.5k
- Markets traded
- 12,463
- Open portfolio
- $11.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,463
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.02at 0.056Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$34.47at 0.278Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$25.09at 0.218Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
- +$23.91at 0.462Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormo
- +$17.56at 0.349Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.05 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.04 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.04 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 23? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.05 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.17 |
| 08-20 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.21 |
| 08-20 07:18 | ITF M25 Lesa Men: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Giovanni Oradini | SELL | 0.55 | $0.94 |
| 08-20 07:18 | ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Weiyi Kong vs M Rifqi Fitriadi | SELL | 0.999 | $1.46 |
| 08-20 07:16 | Will Ogre United win on 2026-08-03? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 08-20 07:15 | KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears | SELL | 0.12 | $0.45 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will FC Naples win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will MIBR Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $3.68 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will FULL SENSE Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-20 07:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.09 |
| 08-20 07:12 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.09 |