PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rasalgethi

0x83935deedd570251c7bc1cdf361dfc37a269f0ae

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$5.33M
Markets traded
1,383
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,383
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 16:08Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?SELL0.93$1.30
07-25 16:07Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?SELL0.9390444$140.86
07-18 13:17Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.005$0.73
07-12 16:24Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?SELL0.685$13.70
07-12 16:22Kash Patel out by December 31?SELL0.5465336066$66.68
07-02 15:10Will Scott Brown be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.9892464149$48.98
07-02 15:03Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.92$3.34
06-26 08:41Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?SELL0.976$7.30
06-26 07:31Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?BUY0.94$66.74
06-25 08:25Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?SELL0.8544546851$38.94
06-25 08:25Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?SELL0.06$0.59
06-24 08:15Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?SELL0.69$53.88
06-12 10:20Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?SELL0.13$2.21
06-01 11:32Kash Patel out by June 30?BUY0.84$26.88
06-01 09:11Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.9650416667$115.81
Trader Rasalgethi · PolyBot