Rasalgethi
0x83935deedd570251c7bc1cdf361dfc37a269f0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $5.33M
- Markets traded
- 1,383
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,383
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.774Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.916US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.501US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.090Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
- +$1.0kat 0.879Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 16:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.30 |
| 07-25 16:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.9390444 | $140.86 |
| 07-18 13:17 | Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.73 |
| 07-12 16:24 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.685 | $13.70 |
| 07-12 16:22 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | SELL | 0.5465336066 | $66.68 |
| 07-02 15:10 | Will Scott Brown be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.9892464149 | $48.98 |
| 07-02 15:03 | Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.34 |
| 06-26 08:41 | Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? | SELL | 0.976 | $7.30 |
| 06-26 07:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $66.74 |
| 06-25 08:25 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.8544546851 | $38.94 |
| 06-25 08:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.59 |
| 06-24 08:15 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.69 | $53.88 |
| 06-12 10:20 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.21 |
| 06-01 11:32 | Kash Patel out by June 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $26.88 |
| 06-01 09:11 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9650416667 | $115.81 |