Rasalgethi
0x83935deedd570251c7bc1cdf361dfc37a269f0ae
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $5.28M
- Markets traded
- 1,394
- Open portfolio
- $970.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,394
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.774Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.916US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.501US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.879Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?
- +$995.61at 0.0602024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 17:59 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.601 | $15.30 |
| 09-06 17:59 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.33 | $20.09 |
| 09-06 16:44 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $112.96 |
| 09-06 16:44 | Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.952 | $28.60 |
| 09-04 17:12 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.897 | $10.32 |
| 09-04 15:25 | Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.61 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.71 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002139346 | $0.89 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.012 | $7.31 |
| 08-06 09:29 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-06 09:28 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $82.97 |
| 08-06 09:28 | Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 07-25 16:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.30 |