A.T.B
0x838c768b8b080d02886c727c86061077fa2070da
- Realised P&L
- $-220.51
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $0.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$2.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$1.11 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.29at 0.096Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$26.67at 0.105Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$19.49at 0.112MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.26at 0.247Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.19 |
| 09-16 12:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 14:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.08 |
| 08-26 18:04 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-13 17:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 08-11 14:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.29 |
| 08-06 16:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.031 | $4.03 |
| 08-05 12:47 | Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 08-05 08:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-05 08:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-05 08:36 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 06:18 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.81 |
| 07-31 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.02 |