PolyBot

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Traders

Retired-Davis

0x8365a0c9908dca494abaf0b90584162b474ce9a6

Realised P&L
$-40.8k
Volume
$12.67M
Markets traded
394
Open portfolio
$45.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded394
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 07:40Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$4.8k
10-05 07:36Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.9507887262$1.1k
10-05 07:35Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.95$293.34
10-05 07:35Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.952163296$1.2k
10-05 07:34Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.9701841756$526.77
10-05 07:34Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.9810046782$1.7k
10-05 07:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.85$3.9k
09-05 09:17Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.5209858745$107.33
09-05 09:17Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.5003779004$529.64
09-05 09:17Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.88$1.8k
07-08 12:27Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8952217184$394.88
07-08 12:24Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.88$404.32
07-08 12:24Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8767659226$953.71
07-08 12:23Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.88$527.52
07-08 12:23Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8790976086$715.73