0x8360633A793f4ccd090aCde7D8B0C82eFDd883c9-1778235242239
0x8360633a793f4ccd090acde7d8b0c82efdd883c9
- Realised P&L
- $-42.24
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $52.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.54at 0.117Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$124.04at 0.406Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by 5-10%?
- +$59.65at 0.284Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
- +$54.96at 0.183Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$39.43at 0.073Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 07:24 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 07:24 | Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 07:23 | Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 06:26 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5819999633 | $6.00 |
| 09-09 06:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:23 | Will Trump praise Dana White in September? | BUY | 0.3029999112 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:23 | Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:23 | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 06:22 | Will Trump praise Roger Penske in September? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:22 | Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 06:22 | Will Trump praise Javier Milei in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 06:21 | Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 06:21 | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? | BUY | 0.6899999754 | $7.00 |
| 08-19 08:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 08:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |