Momolly
0x8355c1fddeb1821d019a9f497fd730034e6f6ce8
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $422.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,408
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,408
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No | 0.988 | 0.985 | $1.8k | −$6.86 |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No | 0.998 | 0.980 | $98.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.460 | $92.00 | −$78.00 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.938 | $73.36 | +$1.41 |
| Will James Harden play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $67.11 | +$0.07 |
| Will James Harden play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $57.20 | +$0.06 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No | 0.868 | 0.455 | $22.73 | −$20.68 |
| Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $12.19 | +$0.24 |
| Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.235 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$394.18at 0.750LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5
- +$386.60at 0.750Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
- +$197.51at 0.970Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$127.73at 0.976Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$89.05at 0.745Draymond Green: Assists O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 17:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.996 | $690.15 |
| 07-24 16:02 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.9893823455 | $1.6k |
| 07-24 16:02 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | BUY | 0.985 | $175.82 |
| 07-24 16:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 07-15 09:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 07-15 09:10 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 06:57 | Will Mark Williams play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.91 |
| 07-07 06:55 | Will Bradley Beal play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.95 |
| 07-07 06:53 | Will Norman Powell play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 07-07 06:53 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 07-07 06:52 | Will Walker Kessler play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.85 |
| 07-07 06:51 | Will Walker Kessler play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9899949239 | $9.75 |
| 07-07 06:51 | Will Walker Kessler play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.69 |
| 07-07 06:51 | Will Walker Kessler play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.82 |
| 07-07 06:51 | Will Walker Kessler play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.967 | $24.18 |