MonBillions
0x83266e69f4089f800afbc7e745c80383ee0e4594
- Realised P&L
- $-25.72
- Volume
- $600.00
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $7.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.065 | $1.69 | −$4.55 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.075 | $1.64 | −$3.31 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.037 | $1.47 | −$3.53 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $0.97 | −$1.57 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.691 | 0.080 | $0.90 | −$6.90 |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.018 | $0.67 | −$2.33 |
| Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.025 | $0.64 | −$2.19 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.24at 0.140Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-0.53at 0.366Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 14:46 | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1114173228 | $2.83 |
| 04-30 14:44 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.10 |
| 04-20 21:31 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 04-20 21:29 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.87 |
| 04-20 21:14 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 04-20 21:13 | Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1279426817 | $5.00 |
| 04-20 21:13 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0834105414 | $3.00 |
| 03-22 08:05 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999921 | $1.95 |
| 03-22 08:05 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.95 |
| 03-22 08:04 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.16 |
| 03-22 08:01 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 03-22 08:00 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 03-22 07:45 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |
| 03-04 03:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.88 |
| 01-13 09:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |