PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x83121e6d19fdc16c98af057e0abd1528cecd18b2

Realised P&L
$-25.90
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
749
Open portfolio
$72.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded749
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.985$5.34$0.08
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.34$0.08
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.984$5.34$0.08
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9990.974$5.28$0.14
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.968$5.25$0.17
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.959$5.20$0.22
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9990.934$5.07$0.35
Will Robert Glogowski win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · No0.9991.000$4.66+$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? · No0.9981.000$4.40+$0.01
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17? · Yes0.9970.994$4.37$0.02
Will Iran target Oman by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.997$4.28$0.00
Will Iran target Syria by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$4.27$0.01
Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? · No0.9990.998$4.27$0.01
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.985$4.22$0.06
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026? · No0.9980.970$4.16$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.998$4.39
09-18 02:57Solana Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ETBUY0.999$4.38
09-18 01:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ETBUY0.99$4.38
09-18 00:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8PM ETBUY0.998$4.38
09-17 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?BUY0.997$4.39
09-17 22:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ETBUY0.999$4.39
09-17 20:57US Dollar / Swedish Krona (USD/SEK) Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.999$4.34
09-17 19:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ETBUY0.95$4.34
09-17 10:57XRP Up or Down - September 17, 6AM ETBUY0.999$4.34
09-17 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ETBUY0.997$4.34
09-17 05:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1AM ETBUY0.999$4.34
09-17 03:57Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ETBUY0.9989998492$4.34
09-17 03:56Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 16, 2026?BUY0.999$4.34
09-17 00:59Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8PM ETBUY0.93$4.29
09-16 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3PM ETBUY0.999$4.29