PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Sc2012m

0x82fb3693ecbf880d6aef073ad55bd0642fb70b6e

Realised P&L
$-244.06
Volume
$420.4k
Markets traded
1,168
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,168
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.275$274.98+$124.99
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · Yes0.1770.135$237.60$74.49
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.2770.475$161.49+$67.30
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17? · Yes0.5000.855$153.90+$63.90
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.1110.208$129.51+$60.64
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5) · 1. FC Union Berlin0.5400.535$119.31$1.11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.575$115.00+$3.00
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6400.515$94.15$22.85
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5 · Under0.7101.000$88.69+$25.69
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.041$78.59+$0.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6200.485$78.23$21.77
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? · Yes0.5500.635$75.05+$10.05
Will Universitario win Peru Liga 1? · No0.5000.680$66.87+$17.70
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17? · No0.5700.985$51.82+$21.82
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes0.3400.335$49.26$0.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:05Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.5699999994$30.00
09-17 19:16Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.5599999955$30.00
09-17 19:14FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5BUY0.4899999984$27.00
09-17 19:14FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5BUY0.7099999997$63.00
09-17 18:56Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)SELL0.89$167.53
09-17 16:53Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)BUY0.629999995$30.00
09-17 15:22Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
09-17 15:22Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)BUY0.689999994$40.00
09-17 15:18Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.3899999992$65.00
09-17 15:18Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?BUY0.2799999978$25.00
09-17 15:14Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5BUY0.64$60.00
09-17 15:13Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5BUY0.4099999994$33.00
09-17 15:13Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5BUY0.64$57.00
09-17 15:12Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.5$90.00
09-17 15:12Will Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?BUY0.25$30.00