PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sc2012m

0x82fb3693ecbf880d6aef073ad55bd0642fb70b6e

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$172.0k
Markets traded
444
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded444
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · No0.2760.340$266.84+$49.84
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6050.655$216.54+$16.54
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · No0.2610.371$117.42+$34.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.2840.225$79.31$20.69
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0610.032$75.25$71.73
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? · Yes0.5500.550$65.00+$0.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3400.325$65.00$3.00
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes0.4880.485$57.61$0.39
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3320.330$52.80$0.32
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.043$49.42$0.58
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? · Yes0.3400.335$49.26$0.74
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4990.475$48.64$2.51
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0420.040$47.02$2.98
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0380.038$40.53+$0.53
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.2600.275$30.67+$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:04Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.64$30.47
08-02 21:35CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5BUY0.6099999999$90.00
08-02 13:18Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6299999926$30.00
08-02 13:16Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6299999986$90.00
08-02 13:14Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6899999987$60.00
08-02 13:14Spread: CF América (-1.5)BUY0.45$36.00
08-02 13:14Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.6899999999$84.00
08-02 13:12Will CSD Macara win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
08-02 13:11Spread: CSD Macara (-1.5)BUY0.6599999951$40.30
08-02 13:05KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5BUY0.64$60.00
08-01 23:39Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.45$18.00
08-01 23:39Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)BUY0.6999999984$42.50
08-01 23:39Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4399999979$41.50
08-01 23:39Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?BUY0.2999999919$18.50
08-01 13:37Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)BUY0.6099999949$30.00